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Forecasting — probability and chaos

meteorology

Weather is predicted statistically, and chaos limits how far: small errors grow, so forecasts are probabilities with a horizon of about two weeks.

source

Narrow Highway — meteorology

card id

card_meteorology_forecasting

address

WIT.codex.FCT/forecasting-probability-and-chaos/REF.WITNESSED@narrow-highway

adjoining cards

part of → Meteorology — the atmosphere as a heat engine — a pillar (Forecasting)
connects at → Statistics — the normal law and the method of science — forecasts are probabilities; chaos bounds predictability